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About the project

Built on the physics of
nuclear weapons

All effect calculations follow Glasstone & Dolan, The Effects of Nuclear Weapons (1977). Casualty methodology adapts the zone-based model from MIT course materials, layered onto real population density from the US Census ACS block-group data.

21
US cities
3
effect categories
1–2,000 kt
yield range
Census
block-group data

What the simulator models

Blast overpressure

Five concentric pressure rings (20, 10, 5, 2, 1 psi) using cube-root scaling for any yield and burst height.

Thermal radiation

First-, second-, and third-degree burn radii computed from fluence at range, with weather and visibility transmission factors.

Prompt ionizing radiation

600, 450, and 100 rem dose contours — automatically suppressed at high yields where blast effects dominate.

Casualty estimation

Day / night population distribution and indoor / outdoor mortality fractions applied per ring against Census block-group densities.

3D burst visualization

Tilt the map to reveal a Three.js-rendered fireball with HOB-correct slant geometry. Right-click and drag to enter 3D mode.

Configurable conditions

Switch between airburst and surface burst, slide burst height, and pick day or night with three visibility regimes.

Modeled

  • •Blast overpressure (20, 10, 5, 2, 1 psi)
  • •Thermal radiation (3 burn degrees)
  • •Prompt ionizing radiation (600, 450, 100 rem)
  • •Casualty estimates from Census block-group data
  • •Airburst with optimal-HOB scaling
  • •Day / night occupancy and weather visibility

Out of scope

  • •Fallout and downwind contamination
  • •Electromagnetic pulse (EMP)
  • •Mass-fire ignition and firestorm dynamics
  • •Per-building shielding and survivability
  • •Long-term medical and societal effects
  • •Evacuation or emergency response modeling

Calibrated to historical and modern yields

Plus a custom yield slider from 1 kt to 2 Mt.

1945
Hiroshima
15 kt
1945
Nagasaki
21 kt
Modern
Strategic
300 kt
Large
Strategic
1 Mt

Ready to explore?

Place ground zero, choose a weapon, and watch the rings update live.

Open Simulator →

This tool is intended for educational and policy-analysis purposes only. Casualty estimates are rough approximations using simplified population density models and do not account for evacuation, sheltering, building density, or emergency response. Actual casualties from a real detonation would depend on many factors not represented here.